Usahihi na matokeo ya utabiri wa AI
Kila utabiri wa AI yetu tunaulinganisha na matokeo ya mwisho. Soko sahihi zaidi katika siku 30 zilizopita ni zaidi ya magoli 1.5: 82% sahihi (utabiri 8 068). Mfumo wenye ROI chanya: utabiri wa AI wa ushindi wa nyumbani · odds 1.50–2.50, wastani 1.77 · uhakika wa AI ≥ 60% → ROI +21.2% (tips 42, siku 30).
Kipindi: Siku 30 (03.10.2026–01.11.2026)
Mfumo wenye ROI chanya
ROI +21.2% kwa siku 23
Utabiri wa AI wa ushindi wa nyumbani · odds 1.50–2.50, wastani 1.77 · uhakika wa AI ≥ 60%
Kipindi: siku 30 zilizopita (03.10.2026–01.11.2026), pamoja na utabiri wa kabla ya kusasishwa kwa modeli · 03.10.2026–25.10.2026
Jinsi tunavyohesabu (mfano wa kihistoria): kipimo cha kudumu cha 1 kwa kila tip, bila kodi, odds wastani za kampuni kadhaa za kubashiri zilizohifadhiwa kabla ya mechi kuanza. Faida inaonyeshwa kwa vipimo; ROI = faida ÷ vipimo vilivyowekwa; upungufu mkubwa = kushuka kukubwa zaidi kutoka kilele cha faida. Kanuni huchaguliwa upya kila siku kati ya michanganyiko 840 (soko × kiwango cha odds × uhakika wa AI) yenye angalau tips 40. Matokeo ya zamani hayahakikishi matokeo ya baadaye. Odds chini ya 1.20 haziingizwi; kanuni zilizokuwa na faida katika nusu zote mbili za kipindi zinapewa kipaumbele.
Mahali utabiri wa AI ulipata faida: viwango vya odds na uhakika
Tunagawa kila utabiri wa AI uliokamilika wenye odds za kabla ya mechi kwa aina ya utabiri, kiwango cha odds na uhakika wa AI. Tunaonyesha tu viwango vyenye faida kwa angalau tips 40, kuanzia ROI ya juu zaidi. Odds za magoli zaidi/chini na timu zote kufunga tunazihifadhi tangu 12.09.2026, kwa hiyo masoko haya yana historia fupi zaidi.
Tangu 15.09.2026 – modeli iliyosasishwa
| Utabiri wa AI | Kiwango | Tips | Usahihi (kizingiti) | Odds wastani | Faida (vipimo) | ROI | Ishara |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magoli chini ya 3.5 | odds 2.50–3.20 | 65 | 46.2% (36.9%) | 2.72 | +15.84 | +24.4% | inatia matumaini |
| Ushindi wa nyumbani (1) | uhakika wa AI 60–70% | 123 | 74.0% (69.4%) | 1.47 | +9.03 | +7.3% | inatia matumaini |
| Ushindi wa ugenini (2) | uhakika wa AI 50–60% | 279 | 60.2% (57.9%) | 1.79 | +12.92 | +4.6% | huenda ni bahati |
| Ushindi wa nyumbani (1) | odds 1.20–1.40 | 274 | 78.5% (76.7%) | 1.31 | +6.59 | +2.4% | huenda ni bahati |
| Ushindi wa nyumbani (1) | odds 1.40–1.60 | 381 | 67.5% (66.8%) | 1.50 | +2.62 | +0.7% | huenda ni bahati |
| Timu zote kufunga – hapana | odds 2.00–2.50 | 288 | 46.2% (46.2%) | 2.17 | +1.33 | +0.5% | huenda ni bahati |
Siku 30 zilizopita (03.10.2026–01.11.2026)
| Utabiri wa AI | Kiwango | Tips | Usahihi (kizingiti) | Odds wastani | Faida (vipimo) | ROI | Ishara |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timu zote kufunga – hapana | odds 2.00–2.50 | 114 | 53.5% (46.1%) | 2.18 | +19.61 | +17.2% | huenda ni bahati |
| Ushindi wa nyumbani (1) | odds 2.50–3.20 | 59 | 44.1% (39.1%) | 2.56 | +7.46 | +12.6% | huenda ni bahati |
| Ushindi wa nyumbani (1) | uhakika wa AI 60–70% | 89 | 71.9% (67.6%) | 1.53 | +8.63 | +9.7% | huenda ni bahati |
| Timu zote kufunga – hapana | uhakika wa AI 40–50% | 102 | 55.9% (51.6%) | 1.99 | +9.61 | +9.4% | huenda ni bahati |
| Ushindi wa ugenini (2) | uhakika wa AI 50–60% | 102 | 64.7% (60.6%) | 1.68 | +7.72 | +7.6% | huenda ni bahati |
| Ushindi wa ugenini (2) | odds 1.40–1.60 | 80 | 70.0% (66.6%) | 1.50 | +3.95 | +4.9% | huenda ni bahati |
| Ushindi wa nyumbani (1) | odds 1.20–1.40 | 171 | 80.1% (76.6%) | 1.31 | +8.12 | +4.7% | huenda ni bahati |
| Magoli zaidi ya 2.5 | uhakika wa AI 40–50% | 209 | 57.4% (55.0%) | 1.87 | +7.13 | +3.4% | huenda ni bahati |
| Magoli chini ya 2.5 | odds 1.80–2.00 | 97 | 54.6% (53.1%) | 1.88 | +2.50 | +2.6% | huenda ni bahati |
| Ushindi wa nyumbani (1) | odds 1.80–2.00 | 297 | 53.5% (52.9%) | 1.89 | +3.69 | +1.2% | huenda ni bahati |
Mfano wa kihistoria: kipimo cha kudumu cha 1, bila kodi, odds wastani za kabla ya mechi. Kizingiti = usahihi unaohitajika ili kutoka sifuri kwa odds hizi. Ishara: “imara” = juu wazi ya kizingiti na chanya katika nusu zote mbili za kipindi; “inatia matumaini” = juu ya kizingiti katika nusu zote mbili; “huenda ni bahati” = sampuli bado ni ndogo. Matokeo ya zamani hayahakikishi matokeo ya baadaye.
Utabiri wa kadi: usahihi wake
Mechi zilizohesabiwa: 3 035, 03.10.2026–01.11.2026. Kando ya kila usahihi tunaonyesha kiwango cha kulinganisha — kile unachopata bila utabiri wowote, ukichagua daima upande unaotokea mara nyingi zaidi — ili ionekane wapi utabiri wa AI unaongeza kitu.
| Soko | Usahihi | Zilizohesabiwa | Kulinganisha | Faida |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaidi ya kadi 2.5 | 76.5% | 3 035 | 76.2% daima zaidi | +0.3 pp · hakuna faida |
| Zaidi ya kadi 3.5 | 63.7% | 3 035 | 59.8% daima zaidi | +3.9 pp |
| Zaidi ya kadi 4.5 | 61.5% | 3 035 | 57.2% daima chini | +4.3 pp |
| Zaidi ya kadi 5.5 | 72.3% | 3 035 | 71.9% daima chini | +0.4 pp · hakuna faida |
| Timu zote mbili zapewa kadi | 76.8% | 3 035 | 76.8% daima ndiyo | +0.1 pp · hakuna faida |
| Kadi nyekundu | 81.1% | 3 035 | 81.1% daima hapana | +0.0 pp · hakuna faida |
| Penalti | 100.0% | 3 035 | 100.0% daima hapana | +0.0 pp · hakuna faida |
Kiwango cha kulinganisha ni chaguo bila utabiri: daima upande uliotokea mara nyingi zaidi katika sampuli hii. Soko linasema kitu kuhusu modeli tu pale usahihi unapozidi kiwango hicho — namba kubwa kwenye mstari ambapo upande mmoja hutokea katika mechi nyingi husema zaidi kuhusu soko kuliko modeli.
Utabiri wa kadi umehifadhiwa tangu 18.09.2026, hivyo vipindi vifupi vinaweza kuonyesha namba zilezile. Kila utabiri huhifadhiwa kabla ya mechi kuanza na kuhesabiwa kwa mwenendo wa mechi; kadi ya njano na nyekundu huhesabiwa moja kila moja. Chaguo ni zaidi/ndiyo pale utabiri wa AI unapotoa angalau 50%.
Usahihi kwa soko na kipindi
| Soko | Siku 7 | Siku 30 | Siku 90 | Muda wote | Tangu 15.09 (modeli mpya) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 48% (2 169) | 49% (9 504) | 48% (22 571) | 48% (25 740) | 49% (14 954) |
| Nafasi mbili | 71% (2 167) | 72% (9 478) | 72% (22 344) | 72% (25 394) | 72% (14 916) |
| BTTS | 56% (2 169) | 57% (9 504) | 55% (22 571) | 55% (25 740) | 56% (14 954) |
| Zaidi ya 2.5 | 61% (2 169) | 61% (9 504) | 58% (22 571) | 58% (25 740) | 59% (14 954) |
| Zaidi ya 1.5 | 83% (1 703) | 82% (8 068) | 83% (14 938) | 82% (17 341) | 83% (11 304) |
| Matokeo sahihi | 8% (2 169) | 9% (9 504) | 9% (22 571) | 9% (25 739) | 9% (14 954) |
Asilimia ya utabiri sahihi; idadi ya utabiri uliokamilika iko kwenye mabano. Mechi zilizobatilishwa na zilizoahirishwa hazihesabiwi. Zaidi ya 1.5: mechi zenye utabiri wa zaidi ya magoli 2.5 — mara ngapi yalifungwa angalau magoli mawili.
Usahihi wa kila siku wa 1X2
Siku zenye angalau utabiri 20 uliokamilika.
Ligi ambazo modeli inafanya vizuri zaidi
| Ligi | Utabiri | Usahihi |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76% | |
| 26 | 73% | |
| 26 | 69% | |
| 26 | 69% | |
| 29 | 69% | |
| 22 | 68% | |
| 28 | 68% | |
| 28 | 68% | |
| 33 | 67% | |
| 24 | 67% |
Utabiri uliokamilika hivi karibuni
| Tarehe | Mechi | Utabiri | Matokeo yaliyotabiriwa | Matokeo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.11 | V-varen Nagasaki – Tokyo Verdy J1 League | 2 | 1-2 | 1:2 |
| 01.11 | JEF United Chiba – Avispa Fukuoka J1 League | X | 1-1 | 3:0 |
| 01.11 | Yokohama F. Marinos – Kawasaki Frontale J1 League | 1 | 2-1 | 4:2 |
| 01.11 | Melbourne Victory – Central Coast Mariners A-League | 1 | 2-1 | 1:1 |
| 01.11 | Club America – Toluca Liga MX | 1 | 2-1 | 2:2 |
| 01.11 | Colorado Rapids – Chicago Fire Major League Soccer | 1 | 2-1 | 2:4 |
| 01.11 | Guadalajara Chivas – Atlante FC Liga MX | 1 | 2-0 | 4:2 |
| 01.11 | Monterrey – Club Tijuana Liga MX | 1 | 2-0 | 3:3 |
| 01.11 | Estudiantes L.P. – Instituto Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina | 1 | 1-0 | 3:3 |
| 31.10 | Mamelodi Sundowns – Durban City Premier Soccer League | 1 | 2-0 | 4:1 |
| 31.10 | Kruger United – Richards Bay Premier Soccer League | 2 | 0-1 | 3:1 |
| 31.10 | Benfica B – Chaves Segunda Liga | 2 | 1-2 | 3:1 |
| 31.10 | FC Cincinnati – Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer | 1 | 2-1 | 1:0 |
| 31.10 | New York City FC – CF Montreal Major League Soccer | 1 | 2-1 | 1:1 |
| 31.10 | Columbus Crew – DC United Major League Soccer | 1 | 2-1 | 3:0 |
| 31.10 | União de Leiria – AFS Segunda Liga | 1 | 1-0 | 2:1 |
| 31.10 | Wydad AC – Moghreb Tetouan Botola Pro | 1 | 2-0 | 1:0 |
| 31.10 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC – Al-Fateh Pro League | 1 | 3-1 | 2:0 |
| 31.10 | PSV Eindhoven – Willem II Eredivisie | 1 | 3-1 | 7:0 |
| 31.10 | Heerenveen – NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie | 1 | 2-1 | 1:0 |
| 31.10 | Tottenham – Crystal Palace Premier League | 1 | 2-1 | 2:0 |
| 31.10 | Bayern München – Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga | 1 | 2-1 | 2:2 |
| 31.10 | Boston United – Scunthorpe National League | 1 | 1-0 | 2:1 |
| 31.10 | Real Betis – Malaga La Liga | 1 | 2-1 | 2:1 |
| 31.10 | Celta de Vigo II – Cordoba Segunda División | 2 | 1-2 | 2:2 |
| 31.10 | Standard Liege – Kortrijk Jupiler Pro League | 1 | 2-1 | 1:1 |
| 31.10 | Rudes – Dinamo Zagreb HNL | 2 | 0-2 | 1:0 |
| 31.10 | Charlotte – Orlando City SC Major League Soccer | 1 | 2-1 | 4:0 |
| 31.10 | Sigma Olomouc – Zbrojovka Brno Czech Liga | 1 | 2-1 | 3:0 |
| 31.10 | Kifisia – Olympiakos Piraeus Super League 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 2:3 |
| 31.10 | Grasshoppers – FC Vaduz Super League | 1 | 2-1 | 2:2 |
| 31.10 | Udinese – AS Roma Serie A | 2 | 1-2 | 2:5 |
| 31.10 | Aalesund – Sandefjord Eliteserien | 1 | 2-1 | 3:4 |
| 31.10 | Petrolul Ploiesti – CFR 1907 Cluj Liga I | 2 | 0-1 | 1:1 |
| 31.10 | FC ST. Gallen – Servette FC Super League | 1 | 2-1 | 2:1 |
| 31.10 | Lech Poznan – Wisla Krakow Ekstraklasa | 1 | 2-0 | 3:1 |
| 31.10 | Catanzaro – Padova Serie B | 1 | 1-0 | 1:1 |
| 31.10 | Cerro – Central Espanol Primera División | 1 | 1-0 | 1:2 |
| 31.10 | Amazulu – Golden Arrows Premier Soccer League | 1 | 1-0 | 1:0 |
| 31.10 | Macva – FK Crvena Zvezda Super Liga | 2 | 0-2 | 2:4 |
| 31.10 | Amal Tiznit – Kawkab Marrakech Botola Pro | 2 | 0-1 | 0:1 |
| 31.10 | Stellenbosch – Chippa United Premier Soccer League | 1 | 1-0 | 0:2 |
| 31.10 | Polokwane City – TS Galaxy Premier Soccer League | 1 | 1-0 | 0:0 |
| 31.10 | Fenerbahçe – Göztepe Süper Lig | 1 | 2-0 | 1:2 |
| 31.10 | Maastricht – VVV Venlo Eerste Divisie | 1 | 2-1 | 1:2 |
| 31.10 | Feyenoord – Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie | 1 | 3-1 | 1:1 |
| 31.10 | Fortuna Köln – Würzburger Kickers 3. Liga | 1 | 2-1 | 1:2 |
| 31.10 | Leixoes – Sporting CP B Segunda Liga | 1 | 2-1 | 1:2 |
| 31.10 | JKT Tanzania – Azam Ligi kuu Bara | 2 | 0-1 | 1:2 |
| 31.10 | Moreirense – Estrela Primeira Liga | 1 | 1-0 | 2:1 |
| 31.10 | Rayo Vallecano – Celta Vigo La Liga | 1 | 1-0 | 3:0 |
| 31.10 | Eibar – Almeria Segunda División | 1 | 2-1 | 0:1 |
| 31.10 | Tranmere – Cheltenham League Two | 1 | 1-0 | 3:1 |
| 31.10 | Hull City – Ipswich Premier League | 1 | 2-1 | 2:2 |
| 31.10 | Burnley – Portsmouth Championship | 1 | 2-1 | 0:0 |
| 31.10 | Wolves – Cardiff Championship | 1 | 2-1 | 3:0 |
| 31.10 | Oldham – Crawley Town League Two | 1 | 2-1 | 0:1 |
| 31.10 | West Ham – West Brom Championship | 1 | 2-1 | 1:3 |
| 31.10 | Salford City – Exeter City League Two | 1 | 2-1 | 2:1 |
| 31.10 | Wealdstone – Southend National League | 2 | 1-2 | 3:2 |
Rekodi ya value bets
Value bets za zamani zilichaguliwa kwa mbinu ya awali isiyo sahihi sana. Tangu Septemba 2026 value bets huchaguliwa tu kutoka kwa modeli kamili ya uwezekano wa 1X2.
Jinsi tunavyohesabu
Tunahesabu tu utabiri uliochapishwa na modeli kabla ya mechi kuanza. Utabiri hufungwa unapokamilika kwa mara ya kwanza, hivyo mabadiliko ya baadaye hayawezi kuboresha rekodi. Matokeo yanatoka kwenye data rasmi za mechi baada ya filimbi ya mwisho; kwa muda wa nyongeza na penalti, matokeo ya dakika 90 ndiyo hutumika, kiwango cha kawaida cha kukamilisha matokeo.
Matokeo ya wazi, yanasasishwa moja kwa moja
Soko letu sahihi zaidi katika siku 30 zilizopita ni zaidi ya magoli 1.5: 82% sahihi kwa utabiri 8 068 uliokamilika. Kila utabiri tunaouchapisha unakamilishwa moja kwa moja baada ya filimbi ya mwisho, kwa kutumia matokeo rasmi. Katika siku 30 zilizopita AI ilitabiri matokeo ya 1X2 kwa usahihi katika 49% ya mechi 9 504. Majedwali yaliyo chini yanaonyesha matokeo kwa soko (1X2, double chance, correct score, GG/NG, over/under 2.5) na kwa ligi.
Jinsi ya kusoma takwimu hizi
Kiwango cha usahihi peke yake hakisemi kama tip ilistahili kubetiwa: mfumo unaochagua timu zinazopewa nafasi kubwa kila mara hushinda mara nyingi lakini hulipa kidogo, kwa hiyo soma usahihi pamoja na odds. Mechi zilizoahirishwa, kufutwa au kusimamishwa haziingizwi. Matokeo ya zamani hayahakikishi matokeo ya baadaye.
Kwa nini tunachapisha kila matokeo
Tovuti nyingi za tips zinaonyesha ushindi pekee. Sisi tunachapisha kila utabiri uliokamilika, pamoja na ile iliyokosea, ili uweze kupima mfumo kwa ligi na kwa soko kabla ya kuuamini. Utabiri uliochapishwa kabla ya mechi kuanza pekee ndio unaohesabiwa kwenye takwimu hizi.