Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid AI Prediction
Odds and AI edge
| Outcome | Odds | Bookmaker % | AI % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Real Sociedad | 2.89 | 32% | – | – |
| X · Draw | 3.53 | 27% | – | – |
| 2 · Atletico Madrid | 2.29 | 41% | – | – |
Bookmaker probabilities are shown without the margin. Odds change quickly, check them before placing a bet.
Match info
Lineups
Official starting lineups announced before kick-off.
Real SociedadConfirmed4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Álex Remiro
- 2J. Aramburu
- 34Luken Beitia
- 19M. Sarr
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 21Y. Herrera
- 18Carlos Soler
- 11Gonçalo Guedes
- 24L. Sučić
- 7Barrenetxea
- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
Substitutes (12)
- 3Aihen Muñoz
- 13Unai Marrero
- 22Héctor Fort
- 12J. Ochieng
- 4Jon Gorrotxategi
- 14T. Kubo
- 16Jon Pacheco
- 29Alex Garcia
- 8Beñat Turrientes
- 23A. Zakharyan
- 9O. Óskarsson
- 27Gorka Carrera
Coach: P. Matarazzo
Atletico MadridConfirmed4-4-2Starting XI
- 13J. Oblak
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 21C. Romero
- 17D. Hancko
- 18Marc Pubill
- 20G. Simeone
- 10Álex Baena
- 23M. Hjulmand
- 22Álex Grimaldo
- 7Lee Kang-In
- 11A. Lookman
Substitutes (12)
- 5J. Cardoso
- 15J. David
- 27J. Dominguez
- 25Salvador Esquivel
- 6Koke
- 24Robin Le Normand
- 4Rodrigo Mendoza
- 1J. Musso
- 16Arnau Ortiz
- 3O. Vargas
- 45Javier Gil
- 30Dani MartÃnez
Coach: D. Simeone
Injuries and suspensions
Real Sociedad3- A. OdriozolaKnee InjuryOut
- I. ZubeldiaInjuryOut
- J. MartinRed CardOut
Atletico Madrid3- P. BarriosMuscle InjuryOut
- A. SorlothMuscle InjuryDoubtful
- J. AlvarezInjuryDoubtful
Absences reported before the match. The list can change until kick-off.
Form and statistics
| Real Sociedad | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 matches, friendlies excluded | ||
| Form | LLWDW | WDWLL |
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-2 | 2-1-2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% |
| La Liga 2026: league table | ||
| Position | 12. | 4. |
| Points (played) | 7 (6) | 10 (5) |
| Goals for:against | 6:11 | 10:6 |
| At home: W-D-L, goals | 1-1-1 · 2:4 | 1-1-0 · 4:2 |
| Away: W-D-L, goals | 1-0-2 · 4:7 | 2-0-1 · 6:4 |
Real Sociedad: latest matches
La Liga
Atletico Madrid: latest matches
Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid: head to head
10 meetings · Goals per match 2.7 · Both teams scored 70% · Over 2.5 goals 50%
- Atletico Madrid2:2Real Sociedad
- Atletico Madrid3:2Real Sociedad
- Real Sociedad1:1Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid4:0Real Sociedad
- Real Sociedad1:1Atletico Madrid
- Real Sociedad0:2Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid2:1Real Sociedad
- Atletico Madrid0:0Real Sociedad
- Atletico Madrid2:1Real Sociedad
- Real Sociedad1:1Atletico Madrid
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | +10 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Alaves | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | +6 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | +2 | 10 | WDLWW |
| 6 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:6 | +3 | 9 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 | WLWW |
| 8 |  Espanyol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 | WDLLW |
| 9 |  Athletic Club | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 11 |  Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 14 |  Getafe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 | DDLWL |
| 15 |  Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 | DDDLL |
| 16 |  Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  Malaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 18 |  Villarreal | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 | LLDD |
| 19 |  Elche | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 2 | DLLLD |
| 20 |  Valencia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 | LLLLD |
Table updated 14 Sept 2026.
Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid: match analysis
Real Sociedad host Atletico Madrid in a La Liga clash as the regular season moves forward. The visitors arrive with a strong defensive record and the potential to edge a tight affair at Anoeta.
Form and context
The numbers show a balanced matchup in recent form, with both teams rated around 50% in form. Atletico Madrid hold the stronger attack and defence ratings, suggesting they are the more reliable team on current data, while Real Sociedad benefits from home surroundings that can temper the contest. Overall, a low-scoring, controlled away victory appears likely.
Key factors
- Atletico Madrid’s superior attacking and defensive ratings imply they are the stronger side on the numbers.
- Real Sociedad’s home advantage provides resistance but may not create the required attacking threat.
- The forecasted style leans towards a tight, low-scoring game with Atletico taking a 0-1 win at Anoeta.
Verdict
The pick favours Atletico Madrid to take all three points in a controlled performance away from home. Expect a narrow result as they edge Real Sociedad, with the final scoreline 0-1.
More La Liga matches on this day
Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid: AI prediction
Real Sociedad host Atletico Madrid in La Liga on . The predicted outcome is Atletico Madrid to win and the most likely correct score is 0-1.
The match is played at Anoeta in San Sebastian. Real Sociedad are coached by P. Matarazzo and Atletico Madrid by D. Simeone. In the La Liga table Real Sociedad are in position 12 (7 pts) and Atletico Madrid in position 4 (10 pts).
Goals markets: BTTS and over/under
The chance that both teams score is 41%, and the probability of over 2.5 goals is 37%. These figures come from the AI analysis of both teams' recent scoring form, league position, head-to-head results and match statistics, together with bookmaker odds when they are available.
Head to head and form
In their last 10 head-to-head meetings Real Sociedad won 0, Atletico Madrid won 5 and 5 ended in a draw. Real Sociedad: W-D-L-L. Atletico Madrid: L-L-L. The prediction is created up to 7 days before kick-off and recalculated once bookmaker odds are published, usually a few days before the match. The written analysis on this page is also generated by AI from the prediction and the match data.
Across La Liga the AI hit 47% of 1X2 predictions in the last 30 days. Use this preview as one input for your decision and bet responsibly.
Compare this preview with other fixtures on the La Liga predictions page, or open the Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid team pages for their full schedules.
Frequently asked questions
Is this a risky punt?
The tip comes with a modest edge based on the supplied probabilities and ratings, and the game is expected to be tight, so there is some risk.
What should I watch for during the match?
Look for Atletico Madrid to maintain control and defend steadily; Real Sociedad will aim to frustrate but may struggle to convert chances.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?
Our AI predicts Atletico Madrid to win.
What is the correct score prediction for Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?
The most likely correct score according to the AI is 0-1.
Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?
The AI estimates a 41% chance that both teams score, and a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals.
When does Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid (La Liga) kicks off on . The prediction is recalculated when bookmaker odds for the match are published.
Predictions are generated by a statistical AI model from form, odds and match data. They are not a guarantee of any result. 18+ only, please bet responsibly.